Michigan vs. Penn State Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread - Saturday, November 11

Bowling Green running back Ta'ron Keith (0) is tackled by Michigan linebacker Junior Colson (25) in the first quarter of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Ann Arbor, Mich. (AP Photo/Jose Juarez)

Bowling Green running back Ta'ron Keith (0) is tackled by Michigan linebacker Junior Colson (25) in the first quarter of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Ann Arbor, Mich. (AP Photo/Jose Juarez) Bowling Green running back Ta'ron Keith (0) is tackled by Michigan linebacker Junior Colson (25) in the first quarter of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Ann Arbor, Mich. (AP Photo/Jose Juarez) (Jose Juarez/APMedia)

By Data Skrive

Our computer model predicts the Penn State Nittany Lions will beat the Michigan Wolverines on Saturday, November 11 at 12:00 PM. For a complete projection on the game at Beaver Stadium, which includes our prediction on the spread, over/under, and final score, keep reading.

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Michigan vs. Penn State Predictions and Picks

ATS Pick Total Pick Score Prediction
Penn State (+5.5) Over (45.5) Penn State 25, Michigan 24

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Week 11 Predictions

Michigan Betting Info (2023)

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  • The Wolverines have a 69.2% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • The Wolverines' record against the spread is 4-4-0.
  • In games it is played as 5.5-point favorites or more, Michigan has an ATS record of 4-4.
  • The Wolverines have seen five of its eight games go over the point total.
  • Michigan games have had an average of 49.4 points this season, 3.9 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Penn State Betting Info (2023)

  • The Nittany Lions have a 35.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Nittany Lions are 6-2-0 ATS this year.
  • The Nittany Lions have gone over in five of their eight games with a set total (62.5%).
  • The average total for Penn State games this season is 1.8 more points than the point total of 45.5 in this outing.

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Wolverines vs. Nittany Lions 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Michigan 40.7 6.7 36.7 7.2 48.7 5.7
Penn State 40.2 11.9 45.6 9.2 33.5 15.3

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